Tuesday, October 8, 2013

2013 DRAFT PLAYER CAPSULES

Allen Crabbe
--Inclined spot-up jumpshooting SG who limits turnovers. Just a decent use of the offensive floor. Just an OK passer for position.
--Doesn't penetrate. Vastly improving mid-range game, but just appears to be decent based on body of work. On the other hand, three point shooting is heading in the opposite direction; has shown real ability to hit threes off the dribble in his first two years (39%, 41%) but has struggled with more spot-up attempts this season, but should still be a good shooter, especially corroborated with very good free throw percentages. Good shooter who likely needs to find consistency with all forms of his jumper.
--Pretty good defender, but very subpar in defensive playmaking. Good rebounder for size. OK frame. Might lack athleticism between the lack of penetration and defensive playmaking, but could find a 3's/D niche if he could simplify his college scoring role into one that mostly involves three point shooting.

Ben McLemore
--Spot-up scorer with a great use of the offensive floor. Excellent finisher at the rim off spoon feeds, but given frequency of at rims not that impressive in drawing fouls. Excellent spot-up three point shooter, and corroborated by excellent free throw shooting, even though just decent mid-range game. OK passer who limits turnovers.
--Very good defender. Good rebounder. Just a decent build. Just an OK defensive playmaker who can block shots but is really awful in racking up steals.
--Overall, can finish and shoot from deep, but lacks the self-creation, passing and ability to draw fouls to take it up another level. More of a strong than athletic type, as rebounding and attacking are more strength and drawing fouls and making defensive plays are more athletic. Somewhat reminds of Jason Richardson in overall style of game.

James Ennis
--Decent scoring small forward with  an excellent use of the offensive floor and a desire for isolations far more than the typical SF (only 45.59% of his shots are assisted). Decent passer for position, but turnover prone.
--The isolation role does not agree with him, as he's a far better shooter off spot-ups (43% 2's, 37% 3's) then when he is taking them off the dribble (31% 2's, 33% 3's this season). Probably a decent shooter overall, but he does have a good foundation given good free throw shooting. Excellent finisher around the rim who is better off set ups but can also improvise a little, and draws fouls.
--Decent defender. Very good defensive playmaker who pads steals and blocks, and good rebounder for size. Overall, has swiss-knife ability with few weaknesses, as he's a decent spot-up shooter, passer, and defender, and has good athleticism with the finishing, rebounding and defensive playmaking. He currently packs more athletic traits than skill-based traits, but for an athlete he has a wide array of skills with potential for growth. Can be a really good role player type if harnessed correctly.

Jeff Withey
--Elite defender who might have been the second best defensive player in college last season. Excellent rebounder. Elite defensive playmaker with an elite rate of shotbocking. Very good frame for a NBA center. Has drastically cut down his fouls. Really underweight though.
--Middling scorer who relies majorly on set-up shots. Decent to good finisher with a major knack for drawing fouls. Appears to have a good spot-up mid-ranger (shot 40% this past season, and 55% his second year) and has utilized that shot more with each passing season. Grain of salt given that while he is an improved free throw shooter, it is still subpar overall. Touches the ball to score, not a passer.
--Should be able to rely on his defense majorly in the NBA, and what might be a good mid-range shot and some finishing.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
--Three-point inclined jumpshooting scorer who uses a mix of spot-ups and isolations. Not a passer, but really limits turnovers, not surprising given jumpshooting game.
--Infrequently takes shots around the rim. Appears to be one of those shooters who shoots better off the dribble, as opposed to spotting up. Has shown ability to hit pull-ups (45% last year) and threes off the dribble (37% this year), but percentages suffer in spot up situations. In the aggregate, mid-range game appears to be good, whereas his long range game is average, and overall, just an OK free throw shooter, so his shooting is likely just average, at best. Has some ability to draw fouls for a jumpshooter.
--Excellent defender and excellent build for position. Excellent defensive playmaker with a knack for steals, and also an excellent rebounder for his size. Defensively is where he could make his money, because offensively there's a ton of questions: he doesn't have the penetration or passing ability to be an alpha scorer, but lacks the spot-up game or really the touch to take in a true shooting role, so there isn't too much of a role for him there.

Michael Carter-Williams
--Oversized point guard with top notch defensive ability. Excellent defensive playmaker who is top notch at accruing steals but also gets a few blocks for size. Very good rebounder for size. Elite build for position, but underweight.
--On offense, lacks usage for position due to scoring limitations, but has creator mentality with isolation game (only 27.4% of shots assisted). Handles the ball with the intention to pass it as the first, second and third option, but also very turnover prone and will force passes.
--Subpar scorer in the NBA, but has a good use of the offensive floor. Subpar finisher, but has a knack for drawing fouls. Very poor pull-up game. Appears to have some potential as a spot-up three point shooter, but shot so poorly from three with many off the dribble this past season. Might be a decent long range shooter, but very poor free throw shooter for position as well as mid-range numbers raise concerns about shooting overall.
--It's really questionable whether he can score inside the three point line in the NBA and how that will affect his passing ability, and if he can find a scoring niche overall. However, he has real potential to hang on with elite defensive attributes, and if he can unlock his passing or dedicate himself to spot-up threes that could help. Syracuse has had a horrible track record with first round picks this decade, so there's always a grain of salt from their products as well.

Myck Kabongo
--Combo guard with a creator mentality with isolation and a desire to attack the rim (only 26.17% of shots assisted), but who lacks usage for the NBA due to subpar scoring limitations. Can pass like a NBA PG but incredibly turnover prone doing so, making his role probably more like a combo guard. Subpar finisher off the dribble but has an insane knack for drawing fouls.
--Shrunk the amount of jumpers he took this year, and has little range outside the paint. Has no mid-range pull-up (29%, 12%) and a very little long range game to speak of (30%, 29%) but he still takes most of those off the dribble. Slight hope given he is an OK free throw shooter for position, but that's the cap.
--Poor defender. Subpar defensive playmaker who despite 6'3" is absolutely pathetic in registering blocks. Quite a poor rebounder. Every offensive and defensive skill he possesses is a weakness--heavily reliant on foul drawing on offense but has little range and can't finish, and is a very turnover prone-passer. Defense he's highly unrefined across the board. At this point he's more athlete and less basketball player.

Ryan Kelly
--Inclined spot-up jumpshooter with a good use of the offensive floor. Passes the ball extremely well for his size, and also limits turnovers.
--Subpar scorer in the NBA with somewhat of a low usage. Good mid-range jumpshooter who is better with his feet set but can create a few shots from there (44% this season, 40% in his second year) and equally adept at spot up threes (42%, 41%), corroborated by good free throw shooting. Incredibly declining rate of at-rim shots to the point where he virtually didn't take any this past season, which might be due to his lingering injuries. However, has developed a real knack for drawing fouls even with the jumpers.
--Decent defender with very good defensive playmaking ability, particularly in shotblocking. Very poor rebounder for size. Top notch build for an NBA PF. Has a lot of intriguing qualities--a really good shooter who can pass the ball and limit turnovers with some defense, but he might lack the athleticism between the at-rim and rebounding game to take it up another notch.

Victor Oladipo
--Decent scoring small forward with a desire for isolations far more than the typical SF (only 46.54% of shots assisted).  Has developed OK passing ability at the small forward position, but very turnover prone with preferred isolation game.
--Subpar use of the offensive floor. Preferred perch is at-rim scoring, where he is a good finisher mostly off improvisation--top-notch offensive rebounder for size. However, note rate of foul drawing as decreased every year even though his percentage of at-rim attempts has stayed relatively the same. Also, might possibly be living off a one year fluke of excellent shooting (45% 2's, 44% 3's), given past history (24, 25% 2's, 21%, 18% 3's) and minimum attempts (less than two-fifths of his shots were jumpers). Has improved his jumper, but just an OK free throw shooter, and very likely at best he's just an OK shooter.
--Very good defender. Very good defensive playmaker with a knack for steals. Top-notch rebounder for size. Is really like Tony Allen--a defense-first athlete with an OK shot and a preferred at-rim game, but nothing really more than that.



Friday, July 26, 2013

NBA POWER RANKINGS

Now most of the moves have been made, time to analyze who's first and who's worst.
Starting lineup is PG-SG-SF-PF-C
Bench (left to right) is in order of quality

Saturday, July 6, 2013

WHAT ARE THE LAKERS' OPTIONS IN FREE AGENCY POST DWIGHT HOWARD?

Well, we've officially lost Earl Clark, Chris Duhon and Dwight Howard, and Mike D'Antoni has already alienated Devin Ebanks and Antawn Jamison (another reason to hate D'Antoni, he forcefully takes away minutes without a capable explanation) and those have pretty much said adios to the Lakers. Andrew Goudelock is someone who's not expected to be back, not to mention he's incredibly one-dimensional and has limitations almost everywhere else besides scoring/shooting. Kevin Ding already reported that in the event that Dwight leaves, look for the Lakers to amnesty World Peace, and I don't think that's going to change--we're stuck in the worst scenario, no man's land, between the 7th and 10th spots in the West, and Peace has been regressing badly on both ends and won't help a mediocre to poor roster. So that's already seven (at least) players gone from our roster. By the way, I'm assuming the Lakers are preserving cap space and will not execute any sign and trades with the Rockets.

I'd prefer not to have Robert Sacre, because if you've read my scouting report, I don't see any NBA-level capabilities and we shouldn't waste a roster spot just to have a cheerleader to bring the mood up during losses. He's a RFA, though, and something tells me we could have him back on the cheap, but still, if I were manning this roster right now, I wouldn't take him. That's (hopefully) eight now.

I'm not a big fan of Darius Morris either, because he needs to rewire his game and recognize is limitations, but even then, his niche of threes-D isn't as strong as other players. I'm mixed on letting him return, particularly since we have Nash and Blake sopping minutes, but of course with Nash's injury history he'll be good insurance, and can come on the cheap (minimum). We have already shown signs of wanting him to return by letting him know he can play in our summer league. So I'd pencil him into next season's roster.

So we're looking at
PG: Nash, Blake, Morris
SG: Bryant, Meeks
SF: None
PF: Hill, Kelly
C: Gasol

Eight familiar guys on our roster (I'm assuming Ryan Kelly will make it, he's certainly talented enough--read my scouting report). We need at least four more guys, and likely five more guys to round it out.

We'll have about $70mil of salaries next year with Metta's amnesty, so I'm assuming we're right at around tax level ($70.307mil). So we'll only have our mini mid-level exception and veteran's minimum for other free agents. Unfortunately, many of the top free agents have already chosen teams, although almost all of them were out of our price range.

I doubt we'd make any trades, although if we're completely tanking, trading Nash won't be a horrendous option, since there's no way we'll win this year and the clock is ticking on his end. However, it's only going to be one year before we might have our books completely wiped clean--only Nash is under contract for the 2014 season and beyond. So I don't think we'll trade him. Just have our top vets sustain a mediocre season--don't think we have the limited talent, or the veterans who would allow it, to tank for Wiggins. Assuming we do fall in the late lottery though, in a deep draft, who knows if a Aaron Gordon or a Dante Exum or a Marcus Smart could fall to us. So really, I'd recommend an all-out tank, especially if Kobe takes a while to recover. A great draft pick would be very nice.

We badly need to replenish our forward positions--any small forward, backup PF and a starting or backup center are priorities. Obviously to one year deals, to preserve our cap space. We've lost a huge chunk of our defense with Dwight and can sorely use some of that.
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[b]FULL MINI MID-LEVEL OPTIONS:[/b]

First of all, I'd like to use the full mid-level on Oden, and we can sell him with minutes when we move Pau to PF, but I think he's going to take more than that amount of money to get. So, I'd really, really attempt to put our priorities on Samuel Dalembert as Pau's backup, likely with the full mid-level. That's the going rate for centers nowadays, especially since Dalembert still has vestiges of the rebounding and shotblocking he was known for, and while his dunking and defense have slipped a bit, he's still able at both fronts, and has a serviceable mid-range J. He gives us size and length.

If we can't get Dalembert, fall back for mini mid-level would be to go for Dallas's Brandan Wright--while his shotblocking's ahead of his defense and way ahead of his rebounding, his offensive game is exquisite--sweet mid-range shot, dunking, provides youth--and we'll need that to replace Jamison's offense. Yeah, he doesn't help with rebounding, but he'll plug other holes. He has the youth advantage over Dalembert for sure, but Dalembert will shore up the rebounding and provide enough offense to go with it, which is why he's first on the list.

If we want small forward first, given that we have zilch at the moment, Al-Farouq Aminu is available. He's starter quality, having started for New Orleans last year, and we need a starting small forward badly. He'll likely take the full mid-level, but he's an underrated on all things defender--he's excellent at rebounding, has great reflexes, and can really defend shots well. The problem is on the other end of the floor where he lacks skill and range, and at times allows his teams to play 4-on-5. But we need to emphasize defense and youth, and Aminu provides a lot of that. I put Dalembert in front because I like to have bigs more, but Aminu isn't a bad option. (FYI: I'd avoid Alan Anderson of Toronto if anyone was wondering--he can't defend his shadow, shot 38% from the field and for a supposed shooter he only made a third of his threes)
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[b]IF WE GET DALEMBERT, MINIMUM OPTIONS:[/b]

With Gasol, Kelly, and Hill all being more on the finesse end of athletes, assuming we get Dalembert, we might need a bruiser PF, and a SF to fill the remainder. Bruiser PFs I'd like for the minimum include Ivan Johnson from Atlanta and Jason Maxiell from Detroit. Kenyon Martin is of the same mold, but he's old enough to the point where I think it's more advantageous for him to join a contender. DeJuan Blair is likely out of our minimum price range, and we wouldn't want to use the full mini mid level on him to begin with. Lamar Odom, while on the old side, I think he'd like to come back for sentimental reasons--he might be had for the minimum, I think, and his defensive versatility could be of major use to us, but I think he might want to stay with a contender as well. I like how Maxiell has been homegrown, having stayed with Detroit throughout his NBA career, and he's an underrated rebounder and shotblocker who relishes the dirty work. He's way too undersized at 6'7" for a PF, but he's still as athletic as ever (55 dunks, finishes 68% at the rim) but has no range. Still, he's kind of what we'd like for our team. Ivan Johnson's also a bruiser, will dunk some, has reflexes for steals and has a workable offensive game, and might be underrated as well here, but he's not a shotblocker.

A SF I think we can get for the minimum, and to badly fill the starting spot--I'd really like James Johnson. He's a bit of a tweener--he doesn't really have the range to be a SF, but he moves like a SF and can pass the ball as well. He's a wild horse who doesn't know his limitations offensively and forces up jumpers, and with his lackluster Sacramento season we can capitalize with the minimum here. A 1 year minimum deal as a possible starter with Kobe guiding him could be a useful experience for him, especially since he's young and athletic. Defensively, he wasn't good this past season, but with his quickness and his ability to rack up steals AND blocks I think there's a lot of untapped potential here, for sure. He's one of the more interesting candidates.

My second option would be Carlos Delfino, hopefully we can get both James Johnson AND Delfino for the minimum because they'd complement each other. With him getting waived, even though he put up 10 a game last season, it might be possible to get him for the minimum. He's an underrated ballhandler, passer, and an excellent defender, both in contesting shots, deflecting passes and rebounding. And he's a preferred long range shooter who can really stroke it. He fills in the blanks extremely well for our team, with few weaknesses. It's hard to believe the Rockets waived him, but if they took Dwight from us, I think Delfino would be a great get for us.

Third option is Ronnie Brewer. Can we resuscitate his career? He's only 28, but he's badly faltering ever since his Utah days. He's been a pretty overrated defender in Utah--more good than great, more off-ball than on-ball--but he has good quickness, has been a great dunker and doesn't need the ball in his hands to succeed. Very mistake free player--doesn't turn the ball over, doesn't foul. Has completely lost confidence in scoring and range, both from the foul line and from the perimeter over the past few seasons, which has really hampered his career. But still, he's kind of a cheaper Al-Farouq Aminu clone, without the rebounding and with worse defense, but still. We could also try our hand in Terrence Williams--perhaps too flaky and immature, but in his rookie year he was a triple double threat with some really good passing ability. Very athletic too and has defensive potential. Poor shooter, but there's potential to work with here. Mickael Pietrus is another option here, an overzealous defender and a highly preferred but overrated three point shooter who's acquitted himself in the GS's run and gun well, so he'd be familiar with D'Antoni's schemes. He's older than Brewer though and more of a journeyman which is why he's further down this list though. I was a big fan of Derrick Brown in his Charlotte stint two years ago when he got minutes, sick dunk machine and very capable defender, but not much else. Still, athletic markers and youth are what we absolutely need. If anyone's wondering, not a fan of Hakim Warrick's lack of defense and rebounding, and he's nearing 30 and has an athletic-based game, so I'd avoid.

[b]IF WE GET AMINU, MINIMUM OPTIONS:[/b]

If we get Al-Farouq Aminu, to fill our center spot I'd like Zaza Pachulia. Something tells me he's worth more than the minimum though, but he's rugged, gets a ton of offensive boards and tries very hard on defense, albeit it's foul prone. But he has size, and I like how he's spent the past 8 years on one team (shows that Atlanta was willing to invest in him). But again, given he's worth more than the minimum (likely), that's why I don't want to put the eggs on the Aminu basket. Marreesse Speights might also want more than the minimum, and his game is hate-able because he loves stuffing his offensive numbers and doesn't do much else on defense and passing, but we'll need offense to replace Jamison, and he could be an able backup PF. Other options include Cole Aldrich, raw but could block shots in college, and was a lottery pick, and Hamed Haddadi is another underrated big man--he's raw and uncoordinated, but super tall, a rebounding machine and a space eater with some surprising touch around the rim. If we need big men shooters, for whatever reason, Josh Harrellson (threes/rebounds) and Donte Greene (attempted "threes/defense-mobility) are always available for the minimum. Birdman seems unlikely, of course.

[b]IF WE GET WRIGHT, MINIMUM OPTIONS:[/b]

Combinations of the other two: for small forward, again ideally it's the Carlos Delfino-James Johnson tandem we get, but there's also Ronnie Brewer, Terrence Williams, Mickael Pietrus, and Derrick Brown as fall backs. At center, Zaza Pachulia, but if not, Cole Aldrich or Hamed Haddadi could prove useful.
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So we need five more guys.

Just to recap:

Mini mid level: Ideally 1) Samuel Dalembert, 2) Brandan Wright, 3) Al-Farouq Aminu (in that order)

[b]Options[/b]:
SFs (get 2 if Dalembert or Wright, 1 if Aminu): Carlos Delfino, James Johnson, Ronnie Brewer, Terrence Williams, Mickael Pietrus, Derrick Brown
PFs (get 1 if Dalembert or Aminu): Jason Maxiell, Ivan Johnson, Marreese Speights, Donte Greene, Josh Harrellson (the last three options, only if we get Aminu)
Cs (get 1 if Wright or Aminu): Zaza Pachulia, Cole Aldrich, Hamed Haddadi

This gets us four for our 12-man roster, and we could have someone perhaps off summer league to fill in the remainder, or maybe someone off the options list above.

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[b]THE DALEMBERT DEAL: [/b]

Just to recap, the Dalembert deal is the most ideal to me. So with Dalembert, the ideal combination would be to sign Carlos Delfino, James Johnson and Jason Maxiell as well all to veteran minimum contracts, with another summer league player.

[u]Lineup configuration[/u]:
PG: Nash, Blake, Morris
SG: Bryant, Meeks
SF: Delfino, James Johnson
PF: Hill, Maxiell, Kelly
C: Gasol, Dalembert
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[b]THE WRIGHT DEAL: [/b]

So with Wright, the ideal combination would be to sign Carlos Delfino, James Johnson and Zaza Pachulia  all to veteran minimum contracts, with another summer league player.

[u]Lineup configuration[/u]:
PG: Nash, Blake, Morris
SG: Bryant, Meeks
SF: Delfino, James Johnson
PF: Hill, Brandan Wright, Kelly
C: Gasol, Pachulia
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[b]THE AMINU DEAL: [/b]

So with Aminu, the ideal combination would be to sign Carlos Delfino, Jason Maxiell and Zaza Pachulia  all to veteran minimum contracts, with another summer league player.

[u]Lineup configuration[/u]:
PG: Nash, Blake, Morris
SG: Bryant, Meeks
SF: Delfino, Al Farouq-Aminu
PF: Hill, Maxiell, Kelly
C: Gasol, Pachulia

So that's where we stand. There's still a lot of bargain bin free agents out there.

Saturday, June 29, 2013

DRAFT DAY GRADES

*Based on my mock draft ranker.

ATLANTA HAWKS

Round 1: Lucas Nogueira (16), Dennis Schroeder (17)

Round 2: Mike Muscala (44), Raul Neto (47)

Noguiera ranked 21st in my algorithm so he's a solid buy with that pick. Schroeder, however, was considered undrafted in my algorithm (78th). It's harder to tell with players who don't play high level German competition, but his statistics this past season with the Phantoms didn't show many NBA-translatable skills at all. At 44th Mike Muscala was a massive steal, he ranked 23rd in my algorithm. Raul Neto doesn't make NBA viable at all (89th). So overall, a good pick (Noguiera), a bad pick (Schroeder) and a steal (Muscala).


BOSTON CELTICS 

Round 1: Kelly Olynyk (13)

Round 2: Colton Iverson (53)

Olynyk screams mediocrity and ranked 28th in my algorithm, and was a massive reach at 13. Colton Iverson  ranked 82nd in my algorithm. This was a horrid draft for Boston.


BROOKLYN NETS 

Round 1: Mason Plumlee (22)

Round 2: None

Plumlee gave the illusion that he dropped to 22nd, but face it, there's a good reason he dropped: he's not that good at all. He ranked 45th in my algorithm, one of the worst ranks of supposed lottery picks, so even at #22 he might be a reach. He's not even the best Duke prospect for the NBA. Bad draft for Brooklyn.


CHARLOTTE BOBCATS 

Round 1: Cody Zeller (4)

Round 2: None

Zeller was a good pick, also ranking 4th in my algorithm, but when a team drafts in the lottery, especially this high, you have to look at what prospects were missed. Nerlens Noel was the biggest miss, obviously, but Kentavious Caldwell-Pope was also underrated as well. So this was merely an OK pick as a result.

CHICAGO BULLS 

Round 1: Tony Snell (20)

Round 2: Erik Murphy (49)

This was an awful draft for Chicago. Snell ranked 46th and was clearly a major reach at #20, and Erik Murphy ranked 75th and was drafted at 49th.

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS 

Round 1: Anthony Bennett (1), Sergey Karasev (19)

Round 2: Carrick Felix (33)

Ah, the draft everyone is talking about. My beef with Bennett is that I'm not even sure if he has the skills of a power forward--his passing/ballhandling was on par with centers with UNLV--and that really made him take a nosedive into the 25th best prospect. While I like Karasev in general, I also thought he was a reach and was the 35th best player, due to what I think are some severe athletic limitations. Felix was a complete overdraft at 33rd when he was the 88th best prospect--even to most draftniks, he wasn't projected to be drafted. This was a bad draft for the Cavs.

DALLAS MAVERICKS 

Round 1: Shane Larkin (18)

Round 2: Ricky Ledo (43)

Larkin was an overdraft at #18--he ranked 36th in my algorithm, and I can't see him as a starter in this league. Ledo is this year's mystery meat--no real stats to work off of, but good frame, and supposedly good scoring/ballhandling combination in the vein of JR Smith. I think he could be a steal, but Larkin was a bad pick.

DENVER NUGGETS 

Round 1: None

Round 2: Erick Green (46), Joffrey Lauvergne (55)

Green was the 49th best pick in my algorithm, so the Nuggets got level value with him. Lauvergne won't see the light of the day in the league as the 99th best player in my algorithm, but for a late 2nd rounder, that won't matter. OK draft day by the Nuggets.

DETROIT PISTONS 

Round 1: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (8)

Round 2: Tony Mitchell (37), Peyton Siva (56)

The Pistons got a massive steal with Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, who ranked 2nd in my algorithm. Mitchell was framed as a steal by draftniks as he was considered a late 1st round pick for the longest time, and my algorithm, which typically loves athletic jumping jacks who pump the sort of athletic stats that Mitchell does, just couldn't overlook the combination of his massive regression combined with his lack of ballhandling/shooting giving him massive tweener status, and had him ranked 69th. Peyton Siva was ranked 74th but it doesn't matter that late in the draft.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS

Round 1: Nemanja Nedovic (30)

Round 2: None

I know to a lot of scouts, Nedovic looks like the second coming of Goran Dragic, with slippery shifty good athleticism and good size. But Nedovic has been around the block and has accrued a lot of unimpressive high level European stats, and is a shooting guard by nature. Nedovic was ranked 86th in my algorithm and was drafted 30th in a massive reach. Bad draft by Golden State.


HOUSTON ROCKETS

Round 1: None

Round 2: Isaiah Canaan (34)

Canaan was a bit of a reach who ranked 51st in my algorithm, and could be overrated. Poor draft.

INDIANA PACERS

Round 1: Solomon Hill (23)

Round 2: None

Indiana had an incredibly poor draft, and was one of the few teams to draft a undrafted player in my algorithm in the first round. That was Solomon Hill, ranked 65th in my algorithm and widely perceived to be overdrafted by every draftnik, so this was an awful draft. This follows another obvious overdraft of Miles Plumlee, so if not for the second round steal of Orlando Johnson last year Larry Bird would really have been perceived as a bad drafter, even despite having had drafts/draft day trades of Paul George, Lance Stephenson, Danny Granger and Roy Hibbert. But awful draft this go around.

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS 

Round 1: Reggie Bullock (25)

Round 2: None

Bullock was probably within the range of my algorithm for being drafted (33rd), but typically within that algorithm range you're probably expecting a role player. That's what the Clippers are getting here. OK drafting here.

LOS ANGELES LAKERS 

Round 1: None

Round 2: Ryan Kelly (48)

Finally! The Lakers were one of the very few teams to get a  massive draft day steal, and Kelly was one at 9th in my algorithm. This was an incredible value pick. Excellent drafting.

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES

Round 1: None

Round 2: Jamaal Franklin (41), Janis Timma (60)

Franklin was perceived as the steal of the draft, having been perceived as a 20s pick, but I was never high on him in the first place, mostly because, between his lack of a jumper and lack of handles/passing, I saw him as a 6'5" PF. Still, everything else seems very good with him, but in the aggregate he ranked 47th--within range of this being a solid pick based on value. Janis Timma was not in my algorithm and at 60th, no one cares. Ok draft for Memphis.

MIAMI HEAT 

Round 1: None

Round 2: James Ennis (50)

Ennis is one of the other major steals of the draft, ranking has a late lottery pick (14th) in my algorithm. The Heat got a massive steal by trading for him, and the rich get richer. He can be another early Dorell Wright clone for them, before he wasted his athleticism by threes-binging.

MILWAUKEE BUCKS 

Round 1: Giannis Antetokounmpo (15)

Round 2: Nate Wolters (38)

Adetokoubo was drafted right where he should be (had him 16th in my algorithm) and Wolters was another major steal, as he ranked 12th in my algorithm and might even have some starter potential in the league, I bet. Excellent draft by Milwaukee.

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

Round 1: Shabazz Muhammad (14), Gorgui Dieng (21),

Round 2: Lorenzo Brown (52), Bojan Dubljevic (59)

That was an awful draft in general by Minnesota. Shabazz is the worst lottery-perceived talent in my algorithm, even ranking as undrafted (77th) there largely because his passing/ballhandling are in line with PFs. He's so eerily reminiscent to a Nick Young/DeMar DeRozan clone, in a bad way, and they picked him in 14th. He fell because his game just doesn't jibe well for the league. Gorgui Dieng has so many issues--Louisville is awful at producing first round talent, he's super old and can't score at all--and ranked 38th in my algorithm. This was another clear overdraft. Lorenzo Brown (50th) got drafted right where he should have been, as was Bojan Dubljevic (54th), but no one will expect much out of those at all. Awful draft.

NEW ORLEANS PELICANS 

Round 1: None

Round 2: Pierre Jackson (42)

The move everyone is clamoring about is how they traded Nerlens Noel and another high lottery pick for the rights to Jrue Holiday. Personally I think Holiday is incredibly underrated, particularly on defense, and that's a valuable trait to have from a player so young and a top option. On offense, while he still insists on too many mid-range shots and appears turnover prone, there's still very good value here. The problem is when you get to the financial implications of this, as top five draft picks under the rookie scale contract for five years can easily produce more bang for the buck than someone like Holiday could under a larger, fatter contract. So while I like Holiday, this could be a bit of a wash. Pierre Jackson ranked 37th in my algorithm, and with the slew of Isaiah Thomas, Nate Robinsons in the league, might have slight value. OK draft for the Pelicans.

NEW YORK KNICKS

Round 1: Tim Hardaway Jr. (24)

Round 2: None

Hardaway Jr. is overrated as a first round draft pick, and scouts have already criticized his inability to put together a consistent offensive repertoire, as he'd oscillate between shooting well and poorly in spot-ups and off-the-dribble shots. He ranked 42nd in my algorithm so this was a reach. Poor draft.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

Round 1: Steven Adams (12), Andre Roberson (26)

Round 2: Alex Abrines (32), Grant Jerrett (40)

Mixed draft here. Adams was a reach (25th), as was Andre Roberson (41st)--Roberson in particular has drawn a ton of comparisons to a Matt Barnes type, but he lacks the passing ability, and many had projected him to be undrafted, even. Alex Abrines rated as a late second rounder (56th), so that's three reaches right there. The real steal of these picks might be Grant Jerrett at #40--he ranked 7th in my algorithm, and I think there's massive potential out of him, as perhaps a better Channing Frye type. So this was a reasonable draft overall for the Thunder.


ORLANDO MAGIC 

Round 1: Victor Oladipo (2)

Round 2: Romero Osby (51)

Oladipo was a reach at 2nd, as he ranked 18th in my algorithm, largely because he spent three years in college already. Osby wasn't even in my 100 prospects, so I don't expect much from him. Bad draft by Orlando.

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS 

Round 1: Nerlens Noel (6), Michael Carter-Williams (11)

Round 2: Arsalan Kazemi (54)

Philadelphia had the best draft of any team. Every single one of their picks was a value pick. Nerlens was the best value pick--#1 in my algorithm. While he doesn't compare to Anthony Davis or Kyrie Irving, he's still very good, and Kentucky has a good track record of producing NBA prospects. Michael Carter-Williams ranked 8th in my algorithm and was drafted 11th, but of course there's that Syracuse fudge factor, which is one of the worst among schools churning many 1st round draft prospects. But still, this could be a value pick here. Kazemi






Sunday, June 16, 2013

TEAM DRAFT DAY RATERS

Below the jump, we'll analyze the teams that operate best at draft day--teams that know how to draft players, AND teams that know how to execute draft day trades that work to their advantage. This is based on a win-shares argument, the amount of win shares a player accumulates weighted by the number of games they play. So there's a longevity factor, a winning factor (accounted for by win shares), and the extrapolation is that the defense would come from this winning factor. And of course, win shares is built upon the PER, or primarily, offense argument. So this is a reasonable encapsulation of a player's built-in value over the course of their career. Many thanks to basketballreference for such data.

Friday, May 31, 2013

COLLEGE RATERS, AND AGE/POSITION RATERS FOR THE NBA


So this post is what I like to call "reverse engineering" the draft process. In my mock drafts, I have used what I call "forward engineering"--advanced stats with fudge factors given to athletic traits--rebounding, defensive playmaking, and other NBA translatable factors like age (smaller the better), player improvement from past season and mutual exclusion factors (threes+free throws). We'll bring that up at the end of the post to get a consolidate assessment based on this forward and reverse engineering combination.

But what is this "reverse engineering"? This time, we're going to use the past--namely, the past drafts, an use history to set the precedent for what players--using age, positional profile, and college they came from--to see if they have a non-statistical template that looks good or bad for the NBA. Because, as we all know, the statistical template isn't everything--it tends to be illuminating in identifying some sleepers, but there's also a fair share of misfires. So we need to account for this factor, and combine it with the statistics. 

Another note: I won't post all the players in the "reverse engineering" process because there's a ton of them. For college players alone, I have about 330 data points to work with. Just like with the "forward engineering", I won't share the statistical formulas. So, without further ado:

Sunday, May 26, 2013

DRAFT PICK VALUE


Below, built off from the previous article (and improved from the previous article):

SUBJECTIVE NBA DRAFT BUST-O-METER

Using my special formula accounting for cumulative player win shares divided by the number of games they played (thanks basketballreference!), I've created a formula that normalizes the value of players drafted between 2000-2012.

Below the jump.

Tuesday, May 14, 2013

ADVANCED STATS: ROOKIE RETROSPECTIVE, 2012-2013 SEASON

This is going to be an analysis of all rookies who played meaningful minutes this year, using the advanced metrics in the past several posts:

Sunday, May 12, 2013

THE OFFENSIVE SKILL LEVEL RATER

So we focused on defense last time, so now let's focus on offense. Let's look at pure jumpshooting ability, explained in further detail here in this graph: http://public.tableausoftware.com/views/jumpshootingmetric/Sheet1?:embed=y&:display_count=no


Friday, May 10, 2013

THE ALL NON OFFENSE PLAYER RATER, 2012-13

So I've created algorithms that attempt to capture a player's on and off ball defense--"soft' defensive stats--this is tabulated through a combination of using nba.com/stats' shots guarded and +/- relative to the team's overall defensive efficiency. Then there's also the "hard" defensive stats--basically a combination of the player's defensive rebound rate and defensive playmaking (steals+blocks+charges) minus their fouling rate, so we can see their "hard" impact on defense. For the "hard" defense, we want to put all players across an even playing field--so I took their numbers and subtracted the average for that position from it (via Hoopdata's player stats) so we could standardize.

Sunday, May 5, 2013

Percentage Of Shots Taken

Play with the graphs here too:
http://public.tableausoftware.com/views/atrimshots/Sheet1?:embed=y&:display_count=no
http://public.tableausoftware.com/views/atrimshots2/Sheet1?:embed=y&:display_count=no
http://public.tableausoftware.com/views/atrim3/Sheet1?:embed=y&:display_count=no
http://public.tableausoftware.com/views/atrimshots4/Sheet1?:embed=y&:display_count=no
http://public.tableausoftware.com/views/atrim5/Sheet1?:embed=y&:display_count=no
http://public.tableausoftware.com/views/dunkshot/Sheet1?:embed=y&:display_count=no
http://public.tableausoftware.com/views/dunkagain/Sheet1?:embed=y&:display_count=no
http://public.tableausoftware.com/views/dunkshotsatrim/Sheet1?:embed=y&:display_count=no

















Saturday, February 9, 2013

2013 BIG BOARD, ANALYSIS

1Marcus Smart 13.68608H: 6' 4"W: 200 lbsSGOklahoma StFr

Smart's a baller and a legit choice for the #1 pick: defensively, he's an excellent rebounder and wreaks havoc with steals and blocks despite only standing 6'4". He also sports a very nonelusive offensive game--he operates more as a slasher but is also quite willing to spread the floor. His long range shot is questionable, but based on his pretty good free throw percentage it should improve for sure. Smart's not quite a PG (he's more of a SG), but he passes quite better than most NBA SGs and should be able to play the point in a pinch. The whole profile makes it look like he's Dwyane Wade 2.0 here.

2Nerlens Noel12.40578H: 6' 11"W: 216 lbsCKentuckyFr


Noel is an absolute sick defensive playmaker, able to lay low for tons of steals for a big man while also being an excellent shotblocker--it's to the point where anything short of excellent defense in the NBA is a disappointment. That's how good he has been in college. He doesn't just go for every lofted shot, he also is a very good rebounder. On the other end is where people grow skeptical--his best attribute is that he passes the ball like NBA power forwards, but his offense is nonelusive and his jumper is pretty much broke at this stage. He might be a very poor offensive player and a sick defensive player in the league.

3Jordan Adams12.275H: 6' 5"W: 220 lbsSGUCLAFr

Adams has an very nonelusive offensive game, slashing to the hole and spreading the floor from deep relatively equally. His long ball is questionable at this point in time, but he has very good touch from the stripe so that should improve with time. Adams also holds his own as a shooting guard passer--he isn't a master creator, but he fits snugly into the 2-guard spot for the league. He's not much of a rebounder, but he's surprisingly adept at making defensive plays for his position. As a versatile scorer with handles and side defensive playmaking there's a lot of chatter of James Harden without the passing, and that could be true.

4Michael Carter-Williams11.9713H: 6' 5"W: 167 lbsPGSyracuseSo


With Carter-Williams, versatility's the name of the game. Carter-Williams stands 6'5" but is an excellent passer, even for PG standards; he should be able to get at least 7 assists a game effortlessly at the NBA level. He also has a somewhat nonelusive offensive game that features slashing with a willingness to spread the floor, but he doesn't appear to be much of a shooter: he's a pretty poor long range shooter, and the free throw percentage doesn't give much hope. At the other end, Carter-Williams is an excellent defensive playmaker, really showing a real knack for steals, and also is a very good rebounder for his size. He might showcase the ability to get triple doubles at the next level. Carter-Williams is the ultimate stuffer--a tall PG who racks up assists effortlessly, is a good rebounder and stealer, and has a reasonable offensive framework, but needs to improve the jumper.

5Ben McLemore11.7965H: 6' 4"W: 181 lbsSGKansasFr


Despite people touting his offensive prowess, I don't think McLemore is all that interesting offensively: yes, he's a great shooter--both from deep and from the stripe--and while his offensive game is somewhat nonelusive featuring some slashing and three bombing, it's not very nonelusive. This matters because McLemore, while he passes the ball like NBA SGs, isn't an excellent passer by any sense of imagination, so at 6'4" he doesn't see too many advantages at his position. So it might just as a robust shooter and occasional slasher in the league, and that's about it--those shorter Jason Richardson comparisons might be money. Like JRich, McLemore is a very good rebounder for his size but just a decent defensive playmaker. The expectation is that he's a 6'4" robust shooter-scorer with rebounding, but there's no real star upside here.

6Kentavious Caldwell-Pope11.68611H: 6' 5"W: 205 lbsSGGeorgiaSo


Caldwell-Pope is a somewhat of a mixed bag as a player, but intriguing nonetheless. For example, offensively, he's very nonelusive, although extremely long range heavy, but for an inclined jumpshooter he draws fouls somewhat decently. He has multiple problems though: it's questionable whether he can buy into his shooting. He's not that good from the stripe, and the overall three point shooting appears to be just average, so there's a chance he can be a low percentage jumper chucker in the league. Adding to that "chucking" idea is the fact that he passes more like small forwards than than he does a shooting guard, so he's not exactly a great player to play alongside for teammates. Defensively, there's potential: Caldwell-Pope rebounds really well for his size, and wreaks defensive havoc with his quick hands for steals. Defensively is where he could make his mark: offensively he's just a streaky gunner with tunnel vision, but we can see where some of the Kerry Kittles comparisons come from. On the offense alone, he's not All-Star material.

7Cody Zeller11.67729H: 6' 11"W: 240 lbsCIndianaSo


Offensively, Zeller draws fouls well and has pretty good touch on his jumper, but his passing is nondescript. He makes quite a few defensive plays and will alternate between the occasional block and laying low for steals, but he isn't a conventionally great shotblocker that we've come to expect from near 7-footers. He's also just a decent rebounder at best, considering his size. We've seen his type before--good inside-outside offensive big man who plays hard to make defensive plays, but is lacking in the hard big man core abilities of shotblocking and rebounding. Some of those types have combined that with passing (Brad Miller), but Zeller doesn't have that. In that sense, the upper end of his upside is poor, but his ability to make a few defensive plays and draw fouls means he's not a conventional stiff. Maybe a rich man's Jason Smith?

8Anthony Bennett11.48568H: 6' 7"W: 240 lbsPFUNLVSo


With Bennett, there's a feeling that there's less that meets the eye: he's a face up power forward with a nonelusive offensive game--he mostly draws fouls, but occasionally he'll spot up from distance. He's an average shooter from deep and an OK shooter from the stripe, so it's questionable whether this is a great proposition for him. He's not much of a passer at all, so for a 6'7" power forward he's definitely physically at a disadvantage for the NBA. Bennett's major calling card might be his rebounding ability, which at 6'7" is excellent, although he's not much of a defensive playmaker. Largely, he's a 6'7" power forward with only real great trick--rebounding--as his inside-outside game is very rough around the edges and he brings little in other team nuances like passing and defensive playmaking. Might be a project, and a possible bust.

9Otto Porter11.47101H: 6' 8"W: 205 lbsSFGeorgetownSo


Porter's best asset, kind of like Carter-Williams, is his versatility; Porter's ballhandling and passing skills are almost to the level of NBA PGs, so at 6'8" he's perceived as a matchup nightmare from the small forward position. Elsewhere, his offense is a wreck--very nonelusive and mid-range heavy, and his jumper appears to be just OK at best so his long range success this year might be a fluke; anyway. Defensively, Porter might be a stopper material; he makes a ton of defensive plays, racking up a ton of steals and even blocks, and he's an excellent rebounder for his size. He doesn't have the best offense, but at 6'8" his ability to make plays without  touching the ball--passing and defense--is incredibly useful in today's league, and he plays the part of a matchup nightmare. Not a star, but an incredibly useful cog player.

10Kyle Anderson11.38612H: 6' 8"W: 233 lbsSFUCLAFr


Defensively, Anderson can be stopper material. He has an amazingly elite rebound rate that would even make even the best college centers swoon, and he's also a very good defensive playmaker who can lay low for tons of steals and get a few blocks. That versatility also extends over to offense--Anderson passes and handles the ball almost like NBA PGs, and so at small forward, standing 6'8", he's considered a matchup nightmare. The rest of his offense is poor--he's somewhat mid-range heavy, has an OK jumper at best, and really seems to lack a long range shot. But his versatility is similar to Otto Porter's on both the passing, rebounding, and defensive playmaking, and that has its uses as a really good NBA cog player.


Friday, February 1, 2013

BEST COLLEGE TEAMS































OUT OF 157 tracked prospects:

16 Grant Jerrett 10.36887 H: 6' 10" W: 220 lbs PF Fr Arizona
73 Brandon Ashley 8.286759 H: 6' 7" W: 191 lbs C Fr Arizona
96 Solomon Hill 7.7245 H: 6' 6" W: 230 lbs SF Sr Arizona
115 Kaleb Tarczewski 7.134915 H: 7' 0" W: 243 lbs C Fr Arizona
149 Kevin Parrom 5.87861 H: 6' 6" W: 205 lbs SF Sr Arizona
21 Jordan Bachynski 9.95963 H: 7' 2" W: 243 lbs C Jr Arizona St
116 Jahii Carson 7.083501 H: 5' 11" W: 167 lbs PG Fr Arizona St.
139 Carrick Felix 6.496859 H: 6' 6" W: 196 lbs SF Sr Arizona St.
78 BJ Young 8.146732 H: 6' 3" W: 158 lbs SG So Arkansas
58 Pierre Jackson 8.927237 H: 5' 10" W: 180 lbs PG Sr Baylor
126 Isaiah Austin 6.896776 H: 6' 11" W: 201 lbs C Fr Baylor
140 Cory Jefferson 6.413707 H: 6' 9" W: 210 lbs C Jr Baylor
52 Mike Muscala 9.004706 H: 6' 11" W: 232 lbs PF Sr Bucknell
97 Javon McCrea 7.691155 H: 6' 6" W: 225 lbs PF Jr Buffalo
47 Allen Crabbe 9.075856 H: 6' 6" W: 205 lbs SF Jr California
27 Sean Kilpatrick 9.732824 H: 6' 4" W: 215 lbs SG Jr Cincinnati
26 Andre Roberson 9.787763 H: 6' 7" W: 210 lbs PF Jr Colorado
30 Spencer Dinwiddie 9.662696 H: 6' 6" W: 200 lbs SG So Colorado
81 Doug McDermott 8.100992 H: 6' 8" W: 223 lbs PF Jr Creighton
46 Ray McCallum 9.077866 H: 6' 2" W: 187 lbs PG Jr Detroit
28 Ryan Kelly 9.697121 H: 6' 11" W: 230 lbs PF Sr Duke
44 Rasheed Sulaimon 9.101523 H: 6' 4" W: 186 lbs SG Fr Duke
59 Mason Plumlee 8.8978 H: 6' 11" W: 245 lbs PF Sr Duke
83 Rodney Hood 8.042388 H: 6' 8" W: 187 lbs SF Fr Duke
91 Seth Curry 7.864295 H: 6' 2" W: 170 lbs SG Sr Duke
106 Erik Murphy 7.374766 H: 6' 10" W: 220 lbs PF Sr Florida
122 Patric Young 6.921452 H: 6' 9" W: 249 lbs C Jr Florida
99 Kenny Boynton 7.638255 H: 6' 2" W: 185 lbs SG So Florida 
143 Michael Snaer  6.226331 H: 6' 4" W: 185 lbs SF Sr Florida St
9 Otto Porter 11.47101 H: 6' 8" W: 205 lbs SF So Georgetown
54 Greg Whittington 8.973429 H: 6' 8" W: 212 lbs SF So Georgetown
6 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 11.68611 H: 6' 5" W: 205 lbs SG So Georgia
146 Eric Ferguson 6.066654 H: 6' 8" W: 204 lbs C Jr Georgia Southern
84 Kelly Olynyk 7.986591 H: 7' 0" W: 238 lbs C Jr Gonzaga
118 Przemek Karnowski 7.045587 H: 7' 1" W: 305 lbs C Fr Gonzaga
147 Elias Harris 5.944282 H: 6' 7" W: 220 lbs PF Sr Gonzaga
51 Brandon Paul 9.018308 H: 6' 4" W: 200 lbs SG Sr Illinois
113 Jackie Carmichael  7.287635 H: 6' 9" W: 241 lbs C Sr Illinois St
7 Cody Zeller 11.67729 H: 6' 11" W: 240 lbs C So Indiana
39 Victor Oladipo 9.257874 H: 6' 5" W: 215 lbs SF Jr Indiana
80 Christian Watford 8.101189 H: 6' 8" W: 229 lbs PF Sr Indiana
142 Will Sheehey 6.249712 H: 6' 7" W: 200 lbs PF Jr Indiana
12 Daniel Theis 11.3194 H: 6' 9" W: 215 lbs PF 1992 Int'l
14 Lucas Noguiera 10.82458 H: 7' 0" W: 220 lbs C 1992 Int'l
18 Klemen Prepelic 10.1626 H: 6' 3" W: 180 lbs SG 1992 Int'l
31 Sergey Karasev 9.590294 H: 6' 7" W: 205 lbs SF 1993 Int'l
55 Rudy Gobert  8.971793 H: 7' 1" W: 235 lbs C 1992 Int'l
79 Bojan Dubljevic  8.129569 H: 6' 10" W: 242 lbs C 1991 Int'l
94 Daniel Diez 7.755723 H: 6' 8" W: 204 lbs PF 1993 Int'l
98 Marko Todorovic 7.675985 H: 6' 11" W: 240 lbs C 1992 Int'l
121 Leo Wastermann  6.945861 H: 6' 7" W: 199 lbs SG 1992 Int'l
131 Raul Neto 6.804267 H: 6' 1" W: 168 lbs SG 1992 Int'l
132 Dario Saric 6.753494 H: 6' 10" W: 223 lbs SF 1994 Int'l
134 Mateusz Ponitka 6.731214 H: 6' 6" W: 211 lbs PF 1993 Int'l
136 Livio Jean-Charles 6.628824 H: 6' 8" W: 210 lbs PF 1993 Int'l
144 Alex Abrines 6.145953 H: 6' 5" W: 190 lbs C 1993 Int'l
151 Louis Labeyre 5.386434 H: 6' 10" W: 191 lbs PF 1992 Int'l
152 Oleksandr Lypovyy 5.316172 H: 6' 8" W: 192 lbs SF 1991 Int'l
154 Nemanja Nedovic  4.935425 H: 6' 4" W: 195 lbs SG 1991 Int'l
155 Joffrey Lauvergne 4.67706 H: 6' 11" W: 225 lbs PF 1991 Int'l
156 Augusto Cesar Lima  4.130255 H: 6' 10" W: 225 lbs C 1991 Int'l
157 Philip Neumann 4.077574 H: 6' 11" W: 240 lbs C 1992 Int'l
141 Linos Chrysikopoulos 6.262551 H: 6' 9" W: 208 lbs SF 1992 Int'l 
5 Ben McLemore 11.7965 H: 6' 4" W: 181 lbs SG Fr Kansas
11 Jeff Withey 11.36822 H: 7' 0" W: 235 lbs C Sr Kansas
124 Elijah Johnson  6.907435 H: 6' 2" W: 195 lbs PG Sr Kansas
2 Nerlens Noel 12.40578 H: 6' 11" W: 216 lbs C Fr Kentucky
20 Archie Goodwin 10.12635 H: 6' 4" W: 198 lbs SG Fr Kentucky
25 Willie Cauley 9.856832 H: 7' 0" W: 245 lbs C Fr Kentucky
49 Kyle Wiltjer 9.060219 H: 6' 9" W: 226 lbs PF So Kentucky
90 Alex Poythress  7.865292 H: 6' 8" W: 239 lbs C Fr Kentucky
123 Ryan Harrow 6.91111 H: 6' 2" W: 170 lbs PG So Kentucky
69 CJ McCollum  8.568813 H: 6' 3" W: 165 lbs SG Sr Lehigh
24 Gorgui Dieng 9.8616 H: 6' 11" W: 245 lbs C Jr Louisville
72 Russ Smith  8.333145 H: 6' 0" W: 160 lbs SG Jr Louisville
82 Chane Behanan 8.043563 H: 6' 7" W: 253 lbs PF So Louisville
87 Peyton Siva 7.908979 H: 5' 11" W: 180 lbs PG Sr Louisville
109 Wayne Blackshear 7.329273 H: 6' 5" W: 215 lbs PF So Louisville
15 Alex Len 10.5039 H: 7' 1" W: 240 lbs C So Maryland
107 Dezmine Wells 7.354972 H: 6' 4" W: 217 lbs SF So Maryland
86 Joe Jackson 7.958051 H: 6' 0" W: 163 lbs SG Jr Memphis
130 Tarik Black 6.807833 H: 6' 8" W: 220 lbs C Jr Memphis
133 Adonis Thomas 6.73137 H: 6' 7" W: 241 lbs SF So Memphis
135 Kenny Kadji 6.637324 H: 6' 11" W: 240 lbs C Sr Miami FL
22 Glenn Robinson III 9.900152 H: 6' 6" W: 210 lbs SF Fr Michigan
23 Trey Burke 9.886178 H: 6' 0" W: 190 lbs PG So Michigan
70 Tim Hardaway Jr 8.534589 H: 6' 6" W: 190 lbs SG Jr Michigan
76 Keith Appling 8.194454 H: 6' 2" W: 170 lbs SG Jr Michigan St
77 Gary Harris 8.156983 H: 6' 4" W: 210 lbs PF Fr Michigan St
92 Adreian Payne 7.832402 H: 6' 9" W: 215 lbs C Jr Michigan St
95 Branden Dawson 7.748378 H: 6' 6" W: 206 lbs PF So Michigan St
34 Andre Hollins 9.518148 H: 6' 1" W: 200 lbs SG So Minnesota
53 Trevor Mbakwe 8.988047 H: 6' 8" W: 237 lbs PF Sr Minnesota
105 Rodney Williams 7.412385 H: 6' 6" W: 204 lbs SF Sr Minnesota
67 Phil Pressey 8.641681 H: 6' 0" W: 178 lbs PG Jr Missouri
68 Michael Dixon 8.570911 H: 6' 1" W: 185 lbs PG Sr Missouri
93 Laurence Bowers 7.809793 H: 6' 8" W: 205 lbs PF Sr Missouri
137 Alex Oriakhi  6.626177 H: 6' 9" W: 255 lbs C Sr Missouri
104 Isaiah Canaan  7.480822 H: 6' 1" W: 200 lbs SG Sr Murray St
40 Lorenzo Brown 9.22186 H: 6' 4" W: 186 lbs PG Jr NC State
64 CJ Leslie  8.688124 H: 6' 9" W: 207 lbs PF Jr NC State
111 Richard Howell 7.319374 H: 6' 8" W: 220 lbs PF Sr NC State
112 TJ Warren 7.303683 H: 6' 8" W: 230 lbs PF Fr NC State
138 Rodney Purvis 6.538789 H: 6' 4" W: 190 lbs SG Fr NC State
36 Deonte Burton  9.400109 H: 6' 1" W: 185 lbs SG Jr Nevada
63 Kendall Williams 8.711416 H: 6' 4" W: 180 lbs PG Jr New Mexico
75 Tony Mitchell  8.227539 H: 6' 8" W: 235 lbs C So North Texas
35 Jerian Grant 9.409318 H: 6' 5" W: 195 lbs PG So Notre Dame
89 Jack Cooley 7.868083 H: 6' 9" W: 248 lbs PF Sr Notre Dame
37 Aaron Craft 9.311708 H: 6' 2" W: 195 lbs PG Jr Ohio St
50 Deshaun Thomas 9.055267 H: 6' 7" W: 220 lbs SF Jr Ohio St
125 Shannon Scott 6.900149 H: 6' 2" W: 175 lbs PG So Ohio St
114 Amath M'Baye  7.138199 H: 6' 9" W: 215 lbs C Jr Oklahoma
1 Marcus Smart  13.68608 H: 6' 4" W: 200 lbs SG Fr Oklahoma St
102 LeBryan Nash  7.53923 H: 6' 7" W: 220 lbs PF So Oklahoma St
33 Arsalan Kazemi 9.539903 H: 6' 8" W: 225 lbs PF Sr Oregon
17 Eric Moreland 10.16525 H: 6' 10" W: 201 lbs PF So Oregon St
32 Devon Collier 9.558593 H: 6' 8" W: 215 lbs SF Jr Oregon St
66 Steven Adams 8.670784 H: 6' 11" W: 235 lbs C Fr Pittsburgh
129 Talib Zanna 6.819449 H: 6' 9" W: 225 lbs C Jr Pittsburgh
48 Bryce Cotton 9.060951 H: 6' 1" W: 165 lbs SG Jr Providence
42 AJ Hammons 9.187792 H: 7' 0" W: 278 lbs C Fr Purdue
60 Jamaal Franklin 8.881919 H: 6' 5" W: 205 lbs PF Jr San Diego St
74 Winston Shepard 8.257762 H: 6' 7" W: 190 lbs SF Fr San Diego St
71 Fuquan Edwin 8.403424 H: 6' 6" W: 205 lbs SF Jr Seton Hall
45 Nate Wolters 9.092822 H: 6' 4" W: 190 lbs PG Sr South Dakota St
100 Jakarr Sampson 7.610348 H: 6' 8" W: 204 lbs PF Fr St. John's
62 Matthew Dellavedova 8.787437 H: 6' 4" W: 185 lbs PG Sr St. Mary's
56 Dwight Powell 8.931964 H: 6' 10" W: 212 lbs PF Jr Stanford
4 Michael Carter-Williams 11.9713 H: 6' 5" W: 167 lbs PG So Syracuse
88 CJ Fair 7.873755 H: 6' 8" W: 203 lbs PF Jr Syracuse
108 Brandon Triche 7.354235 H: 6' 4" W: 198 lbs SG Sr Syracuse
117 Rakeem Christmas 7.076801 H: 6' 9" W: 226 lbs C So Syracuse
57 Jordan McRae 8.929022 H: 6' 5" W: 175 lbs SG Jr Tennessee
65 Jarnell Stokes 8.678377 H: 6' 9" W: 256 lbs C So Tennessee
153 Robert Covington 5.235766 H: 6' 9" W: 230 lbs PF Sr Tennessee St
29 Myck Kabongo 9.688028 H: 6' 1" W: 180 lbs PG So Texas
3 Jordan Adams 12.275 H: 6' 5" W: 220 lbs SG Fr UCLA
10 Kyle Anderson 11.38612 H: 6' 8" W: 233 lbs SF Fr UCLA
101 Shabazz Muhammad  7.607101 H: 6' 6" W: 223 lbs C Fr UCLA
119 Norman Powell 7.044943 H: 6' 3" W: 199 lbs SG So UCLA
19 Shabazz Napier 10.1485 H: 6' 1" W: 182 lbs PG Jr Uconn
13 PJ Hairston 10.9792 H: 6' 5" W: 227 lbs SG So UNC
43 Reggie Bullock 9.141577 H: 6' 5" W: 190 lbs SG Jr UNC
127 James McAdoo 6.861846 H: 6' 9" W: 226 lbs C So UNC
150 Joel James 5.585096 H: 6' 10" W: 265 lbs C Fr UNC
8 Anthony Bennett 11.48568 H: 6' 7" W: 240 lbs PF So UNLV
128 Anthony Marshall 6.837399 H: 6' 3" W: 200 lbs SG Sr UNLV
148 Mike Moser 5.923462 H: 6' 8" W: 230 lbs PF Jr UNLV
120 DeWayne Dedmon 6.998621 H: 7' 0" W: 255 lbs C Jr USC
145 Juvonte Reddic 6.071642 H: 6' 9" W: 225 lbs C Jr VCU
85 Erick Green 7.970324 H: 6' 3" W: 185 lbs SG Sr Virginia Tech
61 Travis McKie 8.818509 H: 6' 7" W: 205 lbs PF Jr Wake Forest
38 CJ Wilcox 9.285519 H: 6' 5" W: 195 lbs SG Jr Washington
41 Aaric Murray 9.203521 H: 6' 11" W: 249 lbs C Jr West Virginia
103 Alec Brown 7.534612 H: 7' 1" W: 212 lbs C Jr Wisc Green Bay
110 Semaj Christon 7.327734 H: 6' 3" W: 187 lbs SG Jr Xavier