Sunday, May 26, 2013

SUBJECTIVE NBA DRAFT BUST-O-METER

Using my special formula accounting for cumulative player win shares divided by the number of games they played (thanks basketballreference!), I've created a formula that normalizes the value of players drafted between 2000-2012.

Below the jump.

SUPERSTARS:

1 CLE LeBron James 19.94771242
4 NOH Chris Paul Wake Forest University 18.55855856
2 SEA Kevin Durant University of Texas at Austin 15.05422993
5 MIA Dwyane Wade Marquette University 15.02255639
1 ORL Dwight Howard 13.64418938
1 HOU Yao Ming 13.55967078
3 ATL Pau Gasol 13.0295858
1 LAC Blake Griffin University of Oklahoma 13.02631579
9 PHO Amar'e Stoudemire 12.35820896
4 TOR Chris Bosh Georgia Institute of Technology 12.27336123

Nothing much to be said here. All of these guys were mostly drafted within the first five picks of the draft, and only one (Amare Stoudemire) was drafted beyond that, and he was a huge steal. These guys proved to be cornerstone types that you can build around. 

Superstar fishing: 9/10 drafted within top 5 picks, 1/10 within top ten (steal), Four #1 overall picks, Two high school players, Five players who went to college, Three straight from high school, Two international

ALL STARS:

6 MIN Brandon Roy University of Washington 11.47239264
5 MEM Kevin Love University of California, Los Angeles 11.39372822
3 OKC James Harden Arizona State University 11.34228188
3 ATL Al Horford University of Florida 11.0741688
1 CHI Derrick Rose University of Memphis 10.75268817
3 UTA Deron Williams University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 10.66780822
2 CHI LaMarcus Aldridge University of Texas at Austin 10.49212598
28 SAS Tony Parker 10.3440367
3 DEN Carmelo Anthony Syracuse University 10.1542777

These guys were mostly found within the top five picks of the draft as well, with one borderline exception (Brandon Roy, at #6) and one major exception (Tony Parker, at #28). Between the superstar and the all star meter, this shows why a top five pick is incredibly valuable.

All Star fishing: 7/9 within top five picks, 2/9 within top ten (steal), One #1 overall pick, Zero high school players, 8/9 players who went to college, One international

RIGHT ON THE PRECIPICE: SUPER ROLE PLAYER/ALL STAR HYBRID

9 CHI Joakim Noah University of Florida 9.974747475
22 DEN Kenneth Faried Morehead State University 9.841269841
30 NYK David Lee University of Florida 9.79202773
9 PHI Andre Iguodala University of Arizona 9.611510791
15 IND Kawhi Leonard San Diego State University 9.590163934
26 SAC Kevin Martin Western Carolina University 9.583333333
7 GSW Stephen Curry Davidson College 9.573643411
1 NOH Anthony Davis University of Kentucky 9.53125
10 LAL Andrew Bynum 9.43877551
4 SEA Russell Westbrook University of California, Los Angeles 9.416243655
2 LAC Tyson Chandler 9.329113924
30 GSW Gilbert Arenas University of Arizona 9.293478261
18 NOH David West Xavier University 9.267563528
21 PHO Rajon Rondo University of Kentucky 9.242105263
7 PHO Luol Deng Duke University 9.120521173
17 IND Danny Granger University of New Mexico 9.048543689
Now there's more variance with this, but these are still incredibly valuable players, particularly since they can be scattered throughout the draft, so there's great steal potential in finding these hybrid types. Particularly notable steals here include Kenneth Faried, David Lee, Kevin Martin, Gilbert Arenas and Rajon Rondo.

On the precipice fishing: 3/16 within top five picks, 4/16 within top ten (relative steal), 4/16 within top 20 (steal), 5/16 within top 30 (super steals), 1 #1 overall pick, Two high school players, 14 who went to college, Zero international

SUPER ROLE PLAYERS

10 NJN Brook Lopez Stanford University 8.984615385
7 NYK Nene Hilario 8.979266348
24 SEA Serge Ibaka 8.936877076
18 MIN Ty Lawson University of North Carolina 8.853046595
7 DET Greg Monroe Georgetown University 8.59030837
13 HOU Richard Jefferson University of Arizona 8.579812207
1 CLE Kyrie Irving Duke University 8.545454545
10 IND Paul George California State University, Fresno 8.446601942
6 NYK Danilo Gallinari 8.385964912
1 POR Greg Oden Ohio State University 8.292682927
15 BOS Al Jefferson 8.248407643
21 NJN Ryan Anderson University of California 8.179104478
6 MEM Shane Battier Duke University 8.10840708
30 ORL Anderson Varejao 8.081023454
26 SAS George Hill Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis 8.011204482
It isn't an ideal scenario to get a super role player with a #1 pick, but it's still a good investment. Greg Oden being an anomaly--he actually was producing reasonable value, then he got injured for good. Steals here: Serge Ibaka, Ryan Anderson, Anderson Varejao, George Hill.

Super role player fishing: 2/15 within top five picks, 6/15 within top ten, 3/15 within top 20 (steal), 4/15 within top 30 (super steal). 2 #1 overall picks, 1 high school player, 10 players who went to college, 4 international players

VERY GOOD ROLE PLAYER:

25 SAC Gerald Wallace University of Alabama 7.857142857
19 POR Zach Randolph Michigan State University 7.650130548
28 SAS Tiago Splitter 7.55
2 CHA Emeka Okafor University of Connecticut 7.508474576
9 DET Andre Drummond University of Connecticut 7.5
29 DAL Josh Howard Wake Forest University 7.495069034
25 HOU Nicolas Batum 7.43902439
4 MEM Mike Conley Ohio State University 7.420091324
10 BOS Joe Johnson University of Arkansas 7.353266888
12 PHI Thaddeus Young Georgia Institute of Technology 7.322654462
1 MIL Andrew Bogut University of Utah 7.295454545
23 DET Tayshaun Prince University of Kentucky 7.270471464
6 POR Damian Lillard Weber State University 7.073170732
17 ATL Josh Smith 7.041420118
5 GSW Jason Richardson Michigan State University 7.00477327

These are the players where within the top five, you think there's less bang for the buck than expected: this particularly applies to Andrew Bogut and Emeka Okafor and some extent to Mike Conley and Jason Richardson, but there's still value because they aren't close to busts. Just not the All star people might have expected. On the flip side, there's great chances for great picks, with Gerald Wallace, Tiago Splitter, Josh Howard, Nicolas Batum and Tayshaun Prince all cashing in here.

Very good role player fishing: 4/15 within top five picks, 3/15 within top ten, 3/15 within top 20 (steal), 5/15 within top 30 (super steal). 1 #1 overall pick, 1 high school player,12 players who went to college, 2 international players.

GOOD ROLE PLAYER:

14 GSW Troy Murphy University of Notre Dame 6.899862826
20 DEN Jameer Nelson Saint Joseph's University 6.895368782
24 MEM Kyle Lowry Villanova University 6.885245902
16 SAC Hedo Turkoglu 6.833890747
7 CHI Kirk Hinrich University of Kansas 6.801152738
5 ORL Mike Miller University of Florida 6.738868833
5 WAS Devin Harris University of Wisconsin 6.722129784
10 MIL Brandon Jennings 6.666666667
6 ATL Josh Childress Stanford University 6.640826873
30 CHI Jimmy Butler Marquette University 6.532258065
1 NJN Kenyon Martin University of Cincinnati 6.526610644
10 MIA Caron Butler University of Connecticut 6.369863014
14 UTA Ronnie Brewer University of Arkansas 6.359832636
5 TOR Jonas Valanciunas 6.290322581
13 TOR Ed Davis University of North Carolina 6.226415094
26 CHI Taj Gibson University of Southern California 6.103448276
2 ATL Marvin Williams University of North Carolina 6.035714286
7 LAC Eric Gordon Indiana University 6.032388664
11 GSW Andris Biedrins 6.019607843
8 HOU Rudy Gay University of Connecticut 6.015625
3 GSW Mike Dunleavy Duke University 6.010568032
21 BOS Jared Sullinger Ohio State University 6

Here we start growing skeptical about players drafted within the top five. That means Mike Miller, Devin Harris, Jonas Valanciunas, but particularly Mike Dunleavy and Kenyon Martin have somewhat underachieved relative to their draft position. That isn't to say they're busts, because they have all amounted to good role players, but they weren't the possible stars that others made them out to be. Steals here include Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Taj Gibson and Jared Sullinger.

Good role player fishing: 6/23 within top five picks (slight underachieving), 6/23 within top ten picks, 7/23 within top 20, 4/23 within the top 30 (steal), 1 #1 overall pick, 1 high school player, 19 college players, 3 international players

REASONABLE ROLE PLAYER:

26 PHI Samuel Dalembert Seton Hall University 5.956072351
11 ORL J.J. Redick Duke University 5.943396226
4 MEM Drew Gooden University of Kansas 5.938864629
17 TOR Roy Hibbert Georgetown University 5.904255319
22 CHA Jared Dudley Boston College 5.902004454
16 PHI Nikola Vucevic University of Southern California 5.859375
24 PHO Rudy Fernandez 5.702811245
24 BOS Delonte West Saint Joseph's University 5.671296296
21 NOH Darren Collison University of California, Los Angeles 5.641891892
12 SEA Nick Collison University of Kansas 5.590433483
1 WAS John Wall University of Kentucky 5.543478261
20 CLE Brendan Haywood University of North Carolina 5.516372796
4 SAC Tyreke Evans University of Memphis 5.486381323
9 UTA Gordon Hayward Butler University 5.476190476
3 WAS Bradley Beal University of Florida 5.357142857
13 IND Tyler Hansbrough University of North Carolina 5.203252033
19 MIA Dorell Wright 5.173210162
18 WAS JaVale McGee University of Nevada, Reno 5.169491525
5 BOS Jeff Green Georgetown University 5.151515152
24 NJN Nenad Krstic 5.131264916
5 MIN Ricky Rubio 5.102040816
18 NOH J.R. Smith 5.097087379
8 CLE Jamal Crawford University of Michigan 5.067567568
21 ATL Boris Diaw 5.046357616
27 DET Arron Afflalo University of California, Los Angeles 5.023474178
8 CHA Brandan Wright University of North Carolina 5.022026432
21 TOR Morris Peterson Michigan State University 5.021097046
5 CHA Raymond Felton University of North Carolina 5.016611296
28 SAS Leandro Barbosa 5.007949126
15 DET Rodney Stuckey Eastern Washington University 5

Drew Gooden, John Wall, Tyreke Evans, Bradley Beal, Jeff Green, Ricky Rubio and Raymond Felton are all the guys who are relatively underachieving relative to their draft position here. Perhaps we can discount Wall, Evans, Beal and Rubio because they're still on their rookie contracts, but Gooden, Green and Felton for sure have relatively underachieved to their draft position. There's great ability for role player stealing here however--with a 1/3 chance, with Sam Dalembert, Jared Dudley, Rudy Fernandez, Delonte West, arren Collison, Nenad Krstic, Boris Diaw, Arron Afflalo, Morris Peterson, and Leandro Barbosa all found here.

Reasonable role player fishing: 7/30 within first five picks (relative underachieving),  3/30 within first ten picks, 10/30 within first 20 picks, 10/30 within 30 picks (steal)

ROLE PLAYER:

3 CHI Ben Gordon University of Connecticut 4.992526158
3 MIN O.J. Mayo University of Southern California 4.98694517
19 ATL Jeff Teague Wake Forest University 4.982578397
14 SEA Luke Ridnour University of Oregon 4.889196676
9 CHA D.J. Augustin University of Texas at Austin 4.888268156
22 DEN Jarrett Jack Georgia Institute of Technology 4.877250409
21 PHO Nate Robinson University of Washington 4.849056604
23 MIN Trevor Booker Clemson University 4.846625767
17 PHI Jrue Holiday University of California, Los Angeles 4.832214765
25 BOS Tony Allen Oklahoma State University 4.825688073
3 NJN Derrick Favors Georgia Institute of Technology 4.681818182
8 NYK Channing Frye University of Arizona 4.68
22 ORL Courtney Lee Western Kentucky University 4.575342466
12 SAC Jason Thompson Rider University 4.523809524
4 CLE Tristan Thompson University of Texas at Austin 4.507042254
19 CLE J.J. Hickson North Carolina State University 4.453781513
25 DET Carlos Delfino 4.437869822
27 MEM Kendrick Perkins 4.413680782
15 MIL Larry Sanders Virginia Commonwealth University 4.371584699
5 SAC DeMarcus Cousins University of Kentucky 4.363636364
23 NYK Wilson Chandler DePaul University 4.360655738
13 PHI Thabo Sefolosha 4.346938776
14 HOU Patrick Patterson University of Kentucky 4.331550802
8 LAC Chris Wilcox University of Maryland 4.28343949
20 PHI Speedy Claxton Hofstra University 4.251497006
17 NYK Iman Shumpert Georgia Institute of Technology 4.230769231
24 HOU Luther Head University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 4.224137931
15 PHO Robin Lopez Stanford University 4.197530864
6 POR Martell Webster 4.191489362
18 LAC Quentin Richardson DePaul University 4.189016603
9 TOR DeMar DeRozan University of Southern California 4.177631579
4 CHI Eddy Curry 4.117647059
23 UTA Kosta Koufos Ohio State University 4.106463878
7 TOR Charlie Villanueva University of Connecticut 4.098039216
19 CHH Jamaal Magloire University of Kentucky 4.073529412
11 GSW Klay Thompson Washington State University 4.054054054
26 SAS John Salmons University of Miami 4.032663317
28 SAS Beno Udrih 4.02866242

OK ROLE PLAYER:

8 MIL T.J. Ford University of Texas at Austin 3.939393939
2 VAN Stromile Swift Louisiana State University 3.893967093
9 HOU Joel Przybilla University of Minnesota 3.885135135
19 MEM Hakim Warrick Syracuse University 3.878326996
26 HOU Aaron Brooks University of Oregon 3.846153846
14 IND Fred Jones University of Oregon 3.837209302
16 PHI Marreese Speights University of Florida 3.837209302
1 TOR Andrea Bargnani 3.76443418
18 HOU Terrence Jones University of Kentucky 3.684210526
7 BOS Randy Foye Villanova University 3.673036093
28 SAS Ian Mahinmi 3.668122271
12 DAL Etan Thomas Syracuse University 3.643031785
27 MIA Arnett Moultrie Mississippi State University 3.617021277
7 NJN Eddie Griffin Seton Hall University 3.597359736
12 SEA Vladimir Radmanovic 3.595658073
17 SEA Desmond Mason Oklahoma State University 3.592534992
26 DET Jason Maxiell University of Cincinnati 3.556405354
23 NJN Josh Boone University of Connecticut 3.5546875
11 GSW Mickael Pietrus 3.536804309
11 POR Meyers Leonard University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 3.47826087
23 SAC Francisco Garcia University of Louisville 3.458333333
7 GSW Harrison Barnes University of North Carolina 3.456790123
9 CHA Kemba Walker University of Connecticut 3.445945946
14 UTA Kris Humphries University of Minnesota 3.440860215
11 IND Jerryd Bayless University of Arizona 3.430420712
1 WAS Kwame Brown 3.426688633
6 LAC Chris Kaman Central Michigan University 3.415841584
19 CHA Tobias Harris University of Tennessee 3.402061856
9 NYK Mike Sweetney Georgetown University 3.347639485
2 MIN Derrick Williams University of Arizona 3.333333333
27 POR Linas Kleiza University of Missouri 3.325183374
29 LAL Toney Douglas Florida State University 3.292682927
13 POR Brandon Rush University of Kansas 3.264604811
20 NYK Renaldo Balkman University of South Carolina 3.257918552
27 MEM Jamaal Tinsley Iowa State University 3.246753247
4 POR Tyrus Thomas Louisiana State University 3.225
8 NYK Jordan Hill University of Arizona 3.20855615
10 SAC Spencer Hawes University of Washington 3.166666667
27 IND Primoz Brezec 3.157894737
15 PHI Maurice Harkless St. John's University 3.157894737
25 PHO Jake Tsakalidis 3.142857143
26 OKC Quincy Pondexter University of Washington 3.121693122
27 LAL Sasha Vujacic 3.109243697
28 MEM Greivis Vasquez University of Maryland 3.08411215
7 CHI Chris Mihm University of Texas at Austin 3.050458716
18 GSW Marco Belinelli 3.027777778
2 PHI Evan Turner Ohio State University 3.022222222
14 MIL John Henson University of North Carolina 3.015873016
SUBPAR ROLE PLAYER: 

27 NOH Darrell Arthur University of Kansas 2.995951417
12 CHA Gerald Henderson Duke University 2.991452991
3 UTA Enes Kanter 2.941176471
26 LAL Jordan Farmar University of California, Los Angeles 2.929782082
9 GSW Ike Diogu Arizona State University 2.888888889
4 LAC Shaun Livingston 2.871794872
18 HOU Jason Collins Stanford University 2.805049088
29 DET D.J. White Indiana University 2.794117647
23 ATL John Jenkins Vanderbilt University 2.786885246
6 GSW Ekpe Udoh Baylor University 2.769230769
29 ORL Daniel Orton University of Kentucky 2.75862069
15 HOU Bostjan Nachbar 2.744479495
5 ATL Shelden Williams Duke University 2.742382271
23 POR Travis Outlaw 2.719141324
30 LAC Marko Jaric 2.706935123
23 SAC Omri Casspi 2.6953125
2 CHA Michael Kidd-Gilchrist University of Kentucky 2.692307692
15 ORL Steven Hunter DePaul University 2.65
25 OKC Rodrigue Beaubois 2.637362637
20 DEN Evan Fournier 2.631578947
26 DEN Mamadou N'Diaye Auburn University 2.608695652
17 DAL Tyler Zeller University of North Carolina 2.597402597
30 CHI Roger Mason University of Virginia 2.576064909
20 MIA Jason Smith Colorado State University 2.566666667
10 ORL Keyon Dooling University of Missouri 2.541208791
25 CLE Shannon Brown Michigan State University 2.513368984
14 GSW Anthony Randolph Louisiana State University 2.488038278
2 MIA Michael Beasley Kansas State University 2.457627119
27 MEM DeMarre Carroll University of Missouri 2.427745665
24 LAL Brian Cook University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 2.42280285
10 WAS Jarvis Hayes University of Georgia 2.388758782
2 MEM Hasheem Thabeet University of Connecticut 2.388059701
16 WAS Nick Young University of Southern California 2.379807692
8 LAC Al-Farouq Aminu Wake Forest University 2.331838565
16 PHI Jiri Welsch 2.307692308
22 NYK Donnell Harvey University of Florida 2.292682927
19 ORL Andrew Nicholson St. Bonaventure University 2.266666667
24 OKC Reggie Jackson Boston College 2.260869565
6 WAS Jan Vesely 2.222222222
13 PHO Markieff Morris University of Kansas 2.206896552
7 MIN Corey Brewer University of Florida 2.202072539
13 ORL Courtney Alexander California State University, Fresno 2.192513369
17 NJN Sean Williams Boston College 2.189781022
13 CHA Sean May University of North Carolina 2.18487395
22 PHO Casey Jacobsen Stanford University 2.160278746
29 CHI Trenton Hassell Austin Peay State University 2.142857143
16 UTA Kirk Snyder University of Nevada, Reno 2.132701422
18 OKC Eric Bledsoe University of Kentucky 2.131979695
3 LAC Darius Miles 2.130044843
8 CLE DeSagana Diop 2.129783694
11 BOS Kedrick Brown Okaloosa-Walton Community College 2.097902098
11 WAS Jared Jeffries Indiana University 2.082670906
16 CHI Rodney Carney University of Memphis 2.073578595
16 TOR Joey Graham Oklahoma State University 2.068965517
14 LAC Al Thornton Florida State University 2.060810811
12 UTA Alec Burks University of Colorado 2.032520325

FRINGE NBA PLAYER:
28 SAC Dan Dickau Gonzaga University 1.966666667
30 GSW Festus Ezeli Vanderbilt University 1.923076923
17 IND Shawne Williams University of Memphis 1.906976744
13 MEM Marcus Banks University of Nevada, Las Vegas 1.896551724
6 ATL DerMarr Johnson University of Cincinnati 1.860465116
24 UTA Raul Lopez 1.85840708
15 DET Austin Daye Gonzaga University 1.856540084
29 LAL Mark Madsen Stanford University 1.810154525
29 MIA Wayne Simien University of Kansas 1.764705882
28 MIN Wayne Ellington University of North Carolina 1.760299625
12 SEA Robert Swift 1.75257732
18 WAS Chris Singleton Florida State University 1.707317073
8 DET Brandon Knight University of Kentucky 1.70212766
14 HOU Marcus Morris University of Kansas 1.70212766
29 IND David Harrison University of Colorado 1.693121693
13 NOK Julian Wright University of Kansas 1.688311688
26 DAL Jordan Hamilton University of Texas at Austin 1.666666667
20 BOS Dahntay Jones Duke University 1.646859083
25 BOS MarShon Brooks Providence College 1.627906977
16 CHI James Johnson Wake Forest University 1.598173516
20 MIN Donatas Motiejunas 1.590909091
19 BOS Avery Bradley University of Texas at Austin 1.586206897
29 SAS Cory Joseph University of Texas at Austin 1.578947368
11 NOH Cole Aldrich University of Kansas 1.573033708
20 UTA Eric Maynor Virginia Commonwealth University 1.56779661
2 DET Darko Milicic 1.517094017
18 BOS Gerald Green 1.507352941
21 PHI Daequan Cook Ohio State University 1.493902439
4 CLE Dion Waiters Syracuse University 1.475409836
23 UTA DeShawn Stevenson 1.468446602
20 SAS James Anderson Oklahoma State University 1.465517241
11 BOS Jerome Moiso University of California, Los Angeles 1.448275862
14 MIN Rashad McCants University of North Carolina 1.445783133
17 WAS Juan Dixon University of Maryland 1.399082569
22 NJN Viktor Khryapa 1.398601399
7 SAC Bismack Biyombo 1.398601399
17 CHI Kevin Seraphin 1.391752577
27 NJN Jordan Crawford Xavier University 1.363636364
14 PHO Earl Clark University of Louisville 1.319796954
12 NOK Hilton Armstrong University of Connecticut 1.299638989
27 PHO Sergio Rodriguez 1.263157895
15 MIL Jason Collier Georgia Institute of Technology 1.258278146
22 POR Elliot Williams University of Memphis 1.25
19 UTA Sasha Pavlovic 1.234567901
8 TOR Terrence Ross University of Washington 1.232876712
18 ORL Curtis Borchardt Stanford University 1.204819277
25 SEA Johan Petro 1.162790698
17 TOR Michael Bradley Villanova University 1.156069364
6 MIL Yi Jianlian 1.139705882
12 LAC Melvin Ely California State University, Fresno 1.072386059
2 CHI Jay Williams Duke University 1.066666667
15 NJN Antoine Wright Texas A&M University 1.043771044
22 NJN Zoran Planinic 1.013513514
10 MIL Jimmer Fredette Brigham Young University 1

BUSTS:
4 MIN Wesley Johnson Syracuse University 0.979381443
4 CHI Marcus Fizer Iowa State University 0.934256055
12 HOU Jeremy Lamb University of Connecticut 0.869565217
22 ORL Jeryl Sasser Southern Methodist University 0.853658537
11 ATL Acie Law Texas A&M University 0.85106383
13 POR Sebastian Telfair 0.839416058
21 POR Qyntel Woods Northeast Mississippi Community College 0.838323353
9 DET Rodney White University of North Carolina at Charlotte 0.825688073
16 MIN Luke Babbitt University of Nevada, Reno 0.793650794
29 PHO Alando Tucker University of Wisconsin 0.784313725
8 MIL Joe Alexander West Virginia University 0.746268657
28 POR Erick Barkley St. John's University 0.740740741
17 PHO Zarko Cabarkapa 0.733333333
10 SEA Mouhamed Sene 0.638297872
28 MEM Donte Greene Syracuse University 0.592885375
13 MIL Marcus Haislip University of Tennessee 0.561797753
9 GSW Patrick O'Bryant Bradley University 0.555555556
27 NJN JaJuan Johnson Purdue University 0.555555556
26 MIN Ndudi Ebi 0.526315789
20 TOR Kareem Rush University of Missouri 0.49132948
18 WAS Oleksiy Pecherov 0.45045045
20 CHA Alexis Ajinca 0.422535211
28 CHI Norris Cole Cleveland State University 0.413793103
30 POR Joel Freeland 0.392156863
12 MEM Xavier Henry University of Kansas 0.37593985
25 MEM Dominique Jones University of South Florida 0.375
25 MEM Tony Wroten University of Washington 0.285714286
30 WAS Lazar Hayward Marquette University 0.277777778
10 CLE Luke Jackson University of Oregon 0.273972603
30 BOS J.R. Giddens University of New Mexico 0.263157895
15 NOK Cedric Simmons North Carolina State University 0.133333333
25 DEN Frank Williams University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 0.11627907
19 LAL Javaris Crittenton Georgia Institute of Technology 0.088495575
24 DAL Byron Mullens Ohio State University 0.069444444
6 CLE Dajuan Wagner University of Memphis 0
20 DEN Julius Hodge North Carolina State University 0
19 SAC Quincy Douby Rutgers University 0
22 NJN Marcus Williams University of Connecticut 0
25 UTA Morris Almond Rice University 0
24 ATL Damion James University of Texas at Austin 0
22 BOS Fab Melo Syracuse University 0
24 CLE Jared Cunningham Oregon State University 0
26 IND Miles Plumlee Duke University 0
28 OKC Perry Jones Baylor University 0
ABSOLUTE BUSTS:
11 NJN Terrence Williams University of Louisville -0.130718954
5 SAC Thomas Robinson University of Kansas -0.142857143
22 POR Victor Claver -0.204081633
8 TOR Rafael Araujo Brigham Young University -0.287769784
12 LAC Yaroslav Korolev -0.294117647
30 NYK Maciej Lampe -0.3125
13 PHO Kendall Marshall University of North Carolina -0.416666667
19 UTA Ryan Humphrey University of Notre Dame -0.470588235
14 DET Mateen Cleaves Michigan State University -0.479041916
23 HOU Brandon Armstrong Pepperdine University -0.555555556
29 CHI Marquis Teague University of Kentucky -0.625
6 MIN Jonny Flynn Syracuse University -0.674846626
27 LAL Chris Jefferies California State University, Fresno -0.694444444
23 POR Sergei Monia -0.769230769
30 CLE Christian Eyenga -0.784313725
15 ORL Reece Gaines University of Louisville -0.845070423
29 NYK Mardy Collins Temple University -0.846560847
3 CHA Adam Morrison Gonzaga University -0.869565217
5 DEN Nikoloz Tskitishvili -0.930232558
24 CHI Dalibor Bagaric -0.947368421
21 POR Nolan Smith Duke University -0.952380952
28 DAL Maurice Ager Michigan State University -1.097560976
21 OKC Craig Brackins Iowa State University -1.176470588
21 BOS Joseph Forte University of North Carolina -1.6
21 UTA Pavel Podkolzin -1.666666667
10 NOH Austin Rivers Duke University -1.803278689
16 CHH Kirk Haston Indiana University -1.851851852
16 BOS Troy Bell Boston College -3.333333333
UNKNOWN (POSSIBLE BUSTS):
29 GSW Steve Logan University of Cincinnati
11 ORL Fran Vasquez
30 PHI Petteri Koponen
23 HOU Nikola Mirotic
16 HOU Royce White Iowa State University



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